Fortuna Düsseldorf vs MSV Duisburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
41%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1967 |
STU
3 - 1
F95
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1967 |
F95
1 - 1
EBT
34%
26%
41%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1967 |
KOL
2 - 0
F95
74%
16%
10%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Apr. 1967 |
F95
0 - 1
MUN
26%
24%
50%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1967 |
MUN
2 - 0
F95
83%
11%
6%
|
70 | 87 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
MSV Duisburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1967 |
MSV
0 - 0
BYM
35%
24%
41%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1967 |
BVB
4 - 1
MSV
67%
19%
14%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1967 |
MSV
2 - 1
HSV
43%
25%
32%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 1967 |
KAI
0 - 0
MSV
44%
26%
30%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1967 |
MSV
3 - 0
S04
54%
23%
23%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |