Fortuna Covaci vs UM Timisoara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
1%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.3%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
3.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
62.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
12.8%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.5%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna Covaci
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2008 |
AER
2 - 0
FCO
43%
25%
32%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2008 |
FCO
0 - 0
AGA
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2008 |
ACU
2 - 0
FCO
46%
26%
29%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2008 |
FCO
1 - 1
MME
49%
24%
27%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2008 |
INE
1 - 0
FCO
30%
25%
45%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
UM Timisoara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2008 |
UMT
3 - 2
MIN
80%
14%
6%
|
57 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2008 |
AER
3 - 1
UMT
15%
22%
63%
|
57 | 31 | 26 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2008 |
UMT
0 - 1
CAR
72%
18%
10%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2008 |
AGA
1 - 3
UMT
13%
22%
65%
|
58 | 29 | 29 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2008 |
UMT
1 - 3
GLO
81%
13%
5%
|
58 | 34 | 24 | 0 |