Oberliga NOFV-Oberliga South Round 23

Fortuna Chemnitz vs FC Carl Zeiss Jena analysis

Fortuna Chemnitz FC Carl Zeiss Jena
32 ELO 55
-6.5% Tilt -6%
31390º General ELO ranking 2058º
992º Country ELO ranking 79º
ELO win probability
12.9%
Fortuna Chemnitz
21.5%
Draw
65.6%
FC Carl Zeiss Jena

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.9%
Win probability
Fortuna Chemnitz
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.5%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
65.6%
Win probability
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
14.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.2%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.9%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fortuna Chemnitz
+9%
+1%
FC Carl Zeiss Jena

ELO progression

Fortuna Chemnitz
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fortuna Chemnitz
Fortuna Chemnitz
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Apr. 2003
FCH
Fortuna Chemnitz
1 - 1
Possneck
POS
57%
23%
20%
33 28 5 0
26 Mar. 2003
LOK
Lokomotive Leipzig
5 - 1
Fortuna Chemnitz
FCH
75%
17%
8%
33 55 22 0
22 Mar. 2003
FCH
Fortuna Chemnitz
0 - 1
Dresden-Laubegast
DRE
49%
24%
27%
34 33 1 -1
15 Mar. 2003
SON
Eintracht Sondershausen
0 - 3
Fortuna Chemnitz
FCH
44%
25%
31%
33 29 4 +1
22 Feb. 2003
FCH
Fortuna Chemnitz
1 - 0
Dresden-Nord
DRE
24%
25%
51%
31 40 9 +2

Matches

FC Carl Zeiss Jena
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Apr. 2003
CZJ
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
1 - 0
VFC Plauen
PLA
50%
26%
24%
54 57 3 0
29 Mar. 2003
SON
Eintracht Sondershausen
0 - 3
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
CZJ
13%
19%
68%
54 29 25 0
23 Mar. 2003
FAD
FC Anhalt Dessau
1 - 6
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
CZJ
16%
23%
61%
54 32 22 0
19 Mar. 2003
CZJ
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
3 - 1
Possneck
POS
85%
11%
4%
54 25 29 0
16 Mar. 2003
SVG
FC Grimma
1 - 5
FC Carl Zeiss Jena
CZJ
17%
23%
60%
54 33 21 0