Fortuna 54 vs Groningen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
24.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortuna 54
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 1966 |
FOR
2 - 6
FEY
26%
25%
49%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1966 |
GAE
4 - 0
FOR
59%
23%
19%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 1966 |
FOR
0 - 3
VVD
53%
23%
24%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1966 |
WIL
2 - 1
FOR
45%
25%
30%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1966 |
FOR
2 - 3
PSV
40%
24%
35%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Groningen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 1966 |
GRO
2 - 0
TEL
66%
19%
15%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1966 |
GRO
3 - 8
AJA
26%
24%
49%
|
74 | 87 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1966 |
FEY
3 - 0
GRO
80%
14%
7%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1966 |
GRO
1 - 3
GAE
51%
24%
25%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1966 |
VVD
1 - 1
GRO
51%
25%
25%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |