Copa Colombia . 1/32
Global 3-1
Fortaleza vs Once Caldas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
28%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
NAC
1 - 2
FOR
53%
25%
22%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2024 |
FOR
1 - 2
MIL
45%
27%
29%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
JAG
0 - 1
FOR
33%
29%
37%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 2024 |
FOR
0 - 0
AME
41%
26%
33%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
SFE
2 - 0
FOR
48%
27%
26%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Once Caldas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
ONC
2 - 1
TOL
41%
28%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2024 |
PAS
0 - 0
ONC
36%
29%
35%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2024 |
ONC
1 - 0
ALI
46%
28%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2024 |
ONC
4 - 1
BOG
69%
20%
12%
|
79 | 58 | 21 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
IND
1 - 2
ONC
49%
26%
24%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |