Fortaleza vs Atlético Fútbol Club analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.2%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.4%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
13%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-42%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2017 |
LLA
2 - 0
FOR
46%
27%
28%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2017 |
FOR
2 - 1
BAR
55%
26%
19%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
FOR
2 - 0
LLA
43%
26%
32%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2017 |
CHI
1 - 1
FOR
39%
28%
33%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2017 |
ORS
1 - 0
FOR
41%
28%
32%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Fútbol Club
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2017 |
AFC
1 - 1
LEO
24%
25%
51%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2017 |
QUI
3 - 0
AFC
69%
20%
11%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
AFC
1 - 3
ORS
22%
20%
58%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
AFC
1 - 1
UNI
29%
27%
44%
|
52 | 62 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
1 - 2
AFC
69%
19%
12%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | +1 |