Fortaleza vs Barranquilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.3%
25.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
QUI
1 - 1
FOR
47%
27%
26%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
FOR
0 - 0
AFC
63%
22%
15%
|
65 | 54 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2018 |
TFC
1 - 3
FOR
40%
30%
31%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2018 |
FOR
2 - 2
RSC
42%
27%
31%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
ORS
2 - 1
FOR
39%
29%
32%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Barranquilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 2
PER
30%
27%
43%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2018 |
BAR
0 - 1
QUI
40%
27%
33%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2018 |
AFC
1 - 1
BAR
27%
29%
44%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Sep. 2018 |
BAR
3 - 2
TFC
42%
28%
30%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
RSC
4 - 1
BAR
42%
28%
30%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |