Fortaleza vs Barranquilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
26%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26%
19.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.5%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
FOR
2 - 0
LLA
43%
26%
32%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2017 |
CHI
1 - 1
FOR
39%
28%
33%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2017 |
ORS
1 - 0
FOR
41%
28%
32%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2017 |
FOR
0 - 1
CUC
49%
27%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 0
LEO
44%
27%
30%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Barranquilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2017 |
CAR
0 - 0
BAR
50%
24%
25%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2017 |
BAR
3 - 2
LEO
33%
28%
39%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2017 |
QUI
2 - 0
BAR
60%
24%
16%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 1
RSC
43%
28%
30%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 1
UNI
46%
27%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |