Fortaleza EC vs Santa Cruz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
14.2%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
BOT
1 - 0
FOR
60%
24%
16%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 1
ATP
29%
29%
42%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2019 |
PAL
4 - 0
FOR
82%
14%
5%
|
71 | 89 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2019 |
CEA
0 - 1
FOR
53%
25%
23%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 0
CEA
40%
26%
34%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Santa Cruz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
FER
3 - 0
SAN
24%
27%
48%
|
63 | 47 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 2
TRE
78%
16%
7%
|
61 | 40 | 21 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 0
FLU
17%
22%
62%
|
58 | 78 | 20 | +3 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
FLU
2 - 0
SAN
75%
18%
8%
|
59 | 78 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2019 |
SAN
3 - 0
ABC
42%
25%
34%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | +2 |