Fortaleza EC vs Salgueiro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.4%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
8.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2014 |
ASA
1 - 3
FOR
31%
27%
42%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
FOR
0 - 0
BOT
71%
19%
11%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
TRE
1 - 1
FOR
22%
27%
51%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 2014 |
PAY
1 - 2
FOR
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2014 |
FOR
0 - 0
CRB
69%
19%
12%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Salgueiro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2014 |
SAL
2 - 1
TRE
39%
27%
35%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2014 |
CRB
2 - 2
SAL
61%
24%
15%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2014 |
SAL
2 - 2
CRA
44%
27%
30%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2014 |
SAL
1 - 0
ASA
34%
27%
40%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
CUI
0 - 0
SAL
55%
25%
20%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |