Fortaleza EC vs Ríver analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.6%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
8.2%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
16.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
16.4%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
16.4%
7%
Win probability
0.51
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
FOR
1 - 2
GUA
51%
24%
25%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1977 |
SAM
1 - 0
FOR
27%
29%
44%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
FOR
0 - 0
POR
59%
21%
20%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1976 |
FOR
2 - 1
ARN
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | +2 |
| 20 Oct. 1976 |
SCI
2 - 0
FOR
75%
16%
9%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Ríver
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1977 |
ABC
2 - 0
RIV
66%
21%
13%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 1977 |
POR
2 - 0
RIV
78%
16%
7%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1977 |
RIV
2 - 2
COR
14%
23%
63%
|
56 | 87 | 31 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1977 |
RIV
5 - 1
ARN
32%
28%
40%
|
54 | 72 | 18 | +2 |