Cearense 1 Round 11

Fortaleza EC vs Quixadá analysis

Fortaleza EC Quixadá
75 ELO 45
10.5% Tilt -3.8%
144º General ELO ranking 6893º
17º Country ELO ranking 280º
ELO win probability
86.6%
Fortaleza EC
9.6%
Draw
3.8%
Quixadá

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.5%
Win probability
Fortaleza EC
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.8%
4-0
10.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.6%
3-0
13.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
9.6%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
9.6%
3.8%
Win probability
Quixadá
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fortaleza EC
-16%
-16%
Quixadá

ELO progression

Fortaleza EC
Quixadá
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fortaleza EC
Fortaleza EC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Feb. 2006
UNI
Atlético Cearense
2 - 2
Fortaleza EC
FOR
14%
20%
66%
75 50 25 0
05 Feb. 2006
LIM
EC Limoeiro
3 - 3
Fortaleza EC
FOR
11%
19%
71%
75 41 34 0
02 Feb. 2006
FOR
Fortaleza EC
1 - 0
Icasa
ICA
83%
11%
6%
75 53 22 0
29 Jan. 2006
CEA
Ceará
3 - 6
Fortaleza EC
FOR
47%
25%
28%
74 69 5 +1
25 Jan. 2006
FOR
Fortaleza EC
1 - 0
Atlético Cearense
UNI
85%
10%
5%
74 50 24 0

Matches

Quixadá
Quixadá
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Feb. 2006
QUI
Quixadá
4 - 2
Maranguape
MAR
52%
22%
26%
44 43 1 0
05 Feb. 2006
ICA
Icasa
3 - 1
Quixadá
QUI
64%
20%
16%
45 53 8 -1
01 Feb. 2006
QUI
Quixadá
3 - 2
Atlético Cearense
UNI
31%
24%
45%
44 51 7 +1
28 Jan. 2006
MAR
Maranguape
3 - 0
Quixadá
QUI
41%
24%
35%
45 42 3 -1
26 Jan. 2006
CEA
Ceará
3 - 2
Quixadá
QUI
84%
11%
5%
46 69 23 -1