Fortaleza EC vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.2%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
17.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
BRA
0 - 0
FOR
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2008 |
FOR
1 - 2
BRA
68%
19%
13%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
FOR
2 - 1
GRÊ
54%
23%
23%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2008 |
SAO
3 - 1
FOR
52%
27%
22%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Jul. 2008 |
FOR
2 - 0
SAN
50%
24%
25%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
BAH
2 - 2
GAM
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2008 |
MAR
3 - 1
BAH
54%
24%
23%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
CRB
1 - 2
BAH
37%
26%
37%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2008 |
BAH
2 - 1
PPE
37%
27%
36%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2008 |
BRA
2 - 3
BAH
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | +1 |