Fortaleza EC vs Corinthians analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23.7%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
52.2%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
16%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
SAN
4 - 0
FOR
77%
15%
8%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
FOR
1 - 0
ATP
29%
25%
47%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2003 |
SAO
3 - 1
FOR
78%
14%
8%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2003 |
FOR
1 - 1
SAO
29%
26%
45%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
FLU
1 - 1
FOR
68%
19%
13%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Corinthians
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2003 |
RIV
2 - 1
COR
55%
23%
23%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
COR
1 - 1
FLA
65%
19%
16%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
SCI
2 - 1
COR
37%
26%
37%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2003 |
VAS
2 - 2
COR
54%
23%
24%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
COR
6 - 1
PAY
73%
16%
11%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |