Fortaleza EC vs Barbalha analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.3%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.1%
+7
1%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.3%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.2%
3-0
14.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
19.1%
2-0
16.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.2%
11%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
5%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11%
3.7%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.1%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
BOT
1 - 0
FOR
27%
24%
49%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2019 |
FOR
0 - 0
CSA
58%
23%
19%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2019 |
NAU
1 - 3
FOR
28%
25%
48%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2018 |
COT
1 - 0
FOR
41%
29%
31%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2018 |
FOR
4 - 1
JUV
69%
20%
11%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Barbalha
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
FER
1 - 1
BAR
59%
21%
21%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
GUA
0 - 3
BAR
27%
22%
52%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2019 |
BAR
3 - 2
FLO
29%
23%
48%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2019 |
HOR
0 - 0
BAR
63%
20%
17%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Jan. 2019 |
BAR
2 - 1
UNI
31%
24%
45%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | +1 |