Fortaleza EC vs Athletico Paranaense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.1%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.8%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
30.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
ATM
4 - 0
FOR
73%
17%
10%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 2
FOR
21%
27%
51%
|
83 | 73 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2021 |
FOR
1 - 0
GRE
37%
27%
36%
|
83 | 86 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
FOR
0 - 3
FLA
20%
22%
58%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
FLU
0 - 2
FOR
49%
25%
26%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Athletico Paranaense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2021 |
ATP
2 - 2
FLA
22%
24%
55%
|
84 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2021 |
ATP
0 - 1
FLU
45%
26%
30%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2021 |
CHA
1 - 1
ATP
21%
28%
51%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Oct. 2021 |
ATP
0 - 2
BAH
60%
23%
17%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | -1 |
| 07 Oct. 2021 |
ATL
0 - 2
ATP
36%
28%
37%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | +1 |