Fort Worth Vaqueros vs Brownsville analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.6%
2-0
9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
10.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.4%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fort Worth Vaqueros
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
CFC
2 - 0
FWV
38%
22%
40%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2019 |
TUL
3 - 1
FWV
48%
21%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
MID
1 - 2
FWV
70%
16%
14%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Jul. 2019 |
DDF
1 - 1
FWV
74%
14%
11%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Jul. 2019 |
FWV
4 - 0
KAT
92%
6%
2%
|
31 | 8 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Brownsville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
FWV
5 - 0
BRP
79%
13%
8%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2018 |
BRP
0 - 3
LAR
8%
12%
80%
|
22 | 44 | 22 | -2 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
FWV
2 - 1
BRP
76%
14%
10%
|
22 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2018 |
BRP
1 - 6
HOU
27%
20%
53%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -2 |
| 13 Jun. 2018 |
REG
3 - 0
BRP
26%
21%
53%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | -2 |