Fort William vs Forres Mechanics analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.7%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.2%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
1.9%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
4.7%
12.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.4%
81.3%
Win probability
2.78
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.9%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.8%
0-4
8%
1-5
2.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
11.4%
0-5
4.4%
1-6
1.4%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
6%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.7%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0.1%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fort William
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2018 |
FRA
7 - 0
FOR
88%
9%
3%
|
7 | 51 | 44 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
FOR
3 - 4
LOS
7%
13%
80%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
BRO
16 - 0
FOR
89%
8%
3%
|
7 | 53 | 46 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2017 |
ROT
9 - 1
FOR
95%
4%
1%
|
7 | 28 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2017 |
CLA
2 - 1
FOR
90%
8%
3%
|
7 | 26 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2017 |
FOR
3 - 2
BRO
16%
19%
66%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2017 |
FOR
3 - 1
ROT
75%
15%
10%
|
41 | 28 | 13 | -1 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
FOR
5 - 0
KEI
77%
14%
9%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
NAI
2 - 4
FOR
28%
22%
51%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
FOR
2 - 1
TUR
56%
21%
23%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +2 |