Forres Mechanics vs Fort William analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
90.9%
Win probability
3.28
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.3%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.8%
9-1
0.1%
+8
1%
7-0
2.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
2.4%
6-0
4.4%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
5.3%
5-0
8.1%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
+5
9.9%
4-0
12.3%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
15.8%
3-0
15%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
20.4%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15%
7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
1%
3-3
0.1%
4-4
<0%
0
7%
2.1%
Win probability
0.39
Expected goals
0-1
1%
1-2
0.6%
2-3
0.1%
3-4
0%
-1
1.8%
0-2
0.2%
1-3
0.1%
2-4
0%
-2
0.3%
0-3
0%
-3
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forres Mechanics
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
STR
0 - 3
FOR
5%
11%
84%
|
39 | 9 | 30 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
FOR
2 - 3
HUN
76%
15%
10%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2017 |
BRO
3 - 0
FOR
72%
16%
12%
|
41 | 51 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
FOR
0 - 2
COV
15%
19%
66%
|
41 | 54 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
ROT
2 - 2
FOR
11%
15%
74%
|
42 | 20 | 22 | -1 |
Matches
Fort William
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
FOR
0 - 10
FRA
7%
14%
80%
|
10 | 49 | 39 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2017 |
INV
4 - 0
FOR
92%
6%
2%
|
10 | 38 | 28 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2017 |
LOS
2 - 2
FOR
88%
9%
3%
|
10 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2017 |
FOR
1 - 5
STR
79%
12%
9%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Aug. 2017 |
HUN
4 - 0
FOR
91%
6%
2%
|
12 | 30 | 18 | -1 |