Fornos de Algodres vs Lusitano FCV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.1%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.4%
73.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
14%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
22%
0-3
10.3%
1-4
3.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
14.6%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
7.6%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.9%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fornos de Algodres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
GAF
2 - 1
FAL
87%
10%
3%
|
12 | 41 | 29 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
FAL
1 - 3
MOR
10%
16%
74%
|
13 | 30 | 17 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
FAL
1 - 3
SER
8%
14%
78%
|
14 | 41 | 27 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
RDA
1 - 1
FAL
88%
9%
3%
|
13 | 41 | 28 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
FAL
0 - 5
ANA
7%
14%
79%
|
15 | 42 | 27 | -2 |
Matches
Lusitano FCV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
LUS
2 - 0
OLE
76%
15%
10%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
FAV
1 - 3
LUS
12%
19%
70%
|
41 | 15 | 26 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
ADN
1 - 1
LUS
26%
28%
46%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
LUS
2 - 1
ADM
67%
20%
14%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
UDL
1 - 0
LUS
72%
18%
10%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | 0 |