Formosa vs Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.7%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
63.1%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.4%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Formosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2019 |
SOB
2 - 1
FOR
61%
21%
18%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
FOR
0 - 0
DOM
22%
23%
56%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 1
PAR
32%
25%
43%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2019 |
SAN
1 - 1
FOR
31%
22%
46%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 0
TAG
8%
14%
78%
|
37 | 62 | 25 | +1 |
Matches
Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
GAM
2 - 2
LUZ
58%
25%
17%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
SAN
0 - 3
GAM
13%
20%
68%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
GAM
2 - 0
CAP
70%
19%
12%
|
53 | 32 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2019 |
PAR
0 - 1
GAM
26%
26%
49%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
GAM
5 - 0
BFC
78%
16%
6%
|
53 | 11 | 42 | 0 |