Forli vs Arzignano Valchiampo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.3%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+135%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
VIN
1 - 2
FOR
9%
18%
73%
|
47 | 21 | 26 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
FOR
2 - 2
VIL
76%
16%
8%
|
48 | 30 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
FOR
5 - 1
DEL
51%
24%
26%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
SAM
2 - 0
FOR
18%
22%
60%
|
49 | 31 | 18 | -2 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 2
SAN
50%
25%
25%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Arzignano Valchiampo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan. 2016 |
UAR
0 - 1
CLO
78%
14%
8%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2016 |
PAR
3 - 0
UAR
79%
15%
6%
|
35 | 79 | 44 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2015 |
MEZ
2 - 1
UAR
38%
23%
39%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
UAR
3 - 3
AVI
32%
25%
43%
|
36 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
COR
3 - 0
UAR
49%
22%
29%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | -1 |