Forli vs Teramo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.1%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.8%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
24.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+73%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
PIA
3 - 0
FOR
48%
24%
28%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 0
REG
26%
27%
47%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | +3 |
| 15 Aug. 2014 |
SPA
1 - 0
FOR
52%
24%
25%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 Aug. 2014 |
FOR
1 - 1
SAN
29%
27%
44%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
FOR
2 - 1
DEL
43%
26%
31%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Teramo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
TER
1 - 3
GRO
16%
25%
59%
|
38 | 60 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
PIS
3 - 1
TER
78%
16%
7%
|
37 | 64 | 27 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
FCS
3 - 2
TER
75%
17%
8%
|
37 | 60 | 23 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
NUO
1 - 1
TER
55%
23%
22%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
TER
0 - 1
MES
45%
26%
29%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |