Forli vs Sammaurese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.6%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
20.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+27%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
PRO
2 - 2
FOR
31%
24%
45%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
FOR
2 - 0
RAV
12%
20%
68%
|
30 | 46 | 16 | +4 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
TRI
0 - 1
FOR
34%
23%
43%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
BAG
2 - 0
FOR
24%
25%
51%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | -2 |
| 13 Mar. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 2
ACP
47%
24%
30%
|
32 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Sammaurese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2022 |
SAM
0 - 0
TRI
58%
22%
20%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
BAG
1 - 1
SAM
33%
26%
41%
|
28 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2022 |
SAM
0 - 2
ACP
39%
25%
37%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 2022 |
LEN
2 - 1
SAM
62%
21%
17%
|
31 | 40 | 9 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2022 |
SAM
1 - 2
FAN
35%
26%
40%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -1 |