Forli vs Rimini analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+60%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
FAN
1 - 5
FOR
16%
22%
63%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2013 |
USA
1 - 1
FOR
44%
25%
31%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 1
ACG
72%
18%
10%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
FOR
6 - 0
MIL
79%
15%
6%
|
37 | 19 | 18 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
MAN
2 - 1
FOR
41%
25%
34%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Rimini
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
RIM
0 - 0
VIN
66%
21%
14%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
SCH
0 - 2
RIM
56%
21%
23%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
RIM
1 - 1
PRO
24%
24%
52%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 2013 |
ASS
2 - 1
RIM
71%
18%
11%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2013 |
RIM
0 - 1
REN
47%
25%
28%
|
30 | 32 | 2 | -1 |