Forge vs Cavalry analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
30.5%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forge
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CAV
1 - 1
FOR
39%
28%
34%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 0
HFX
63%
23%
14%
|
74 | 62 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2022 |
FOR
0 - 1
PAC
46%
27%
28%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
FOR
2 - 0
YOR
57%
24%
19%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2022 |
EDM
1 - 1
FOR
17%
24%
59%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Cavalry
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CAV
1 - 1
FOR
39%
28%
34%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
CAV
1 - 0
PAC
41%
28%
32%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
CAV
2 - 1
VAL
51%
26%
23%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
CAV
1 - 3
ATO
51%
26%
22%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
EDM
0 - 1
CAV
17%
24%
59%
|
72 | 57 | 15 | 0 |