Forfar Athletic vs St. Johnstone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.1%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
49%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2019 |
ROS
2 - 0
FOR
67%
19%
14%
|
56 | 69 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
MON
1 - 4
FOR
36%
25%
40%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2019 |
FOR
3 - 0
BRE
72%
17%
11%
|
55 | 42 | 13 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2019 |
FOR
2 - 1
COV
50%
23%
27%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
FOR
1 - 0
GRE
46%
25%
30%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul. 2019 |
STJ
4 - 0
BRE
77%
17%
6%
|
64 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2019 |
STJ
1 - 2
ROS
32%
25%
43%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2019 |
MON
1 - 0
STJ
18%
21%
60%
|
66 | 51 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2019 |
ICT
3 - 1
STJ
31%
25%
44%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2019 |
GRE
2 - 3
STJ
23%
24%
53%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |