Cup . 1/16
Global 4-4
Forfar Athletic vs Brechin City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
22.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
DUN
1 - 1
FOR
66%
19%
15%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2013 |
GLA
6 - 1
FOR
81%
13%
6%
|
49 | 74 | 25 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
BRE
1 - 1
FOR
47%
23%
30%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 0
EAS
77%
14%
9%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 0
BRE
51%
23%
26%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Brechin City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
BRE
1 - 1
FOR
47%
23%
30%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
DUN
3 - 1
BRE
66%
19%
15%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
BRE
1 - 1
AYR
57%
21%
22%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
FOR
2 - 0
BRE
51%
23%
26%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | -2 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
ARB
0 - 2
BRE
41%
24%
35%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |