Forest Green Rovers vs Southport analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.1%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.6%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
18%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
18%
10.4%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+28%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Forest Green Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
CHE
1 - 2
FOR
32%
26%
41%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
FOR
2 - 1
BRO
58%
22%
20%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
KID
0 - 2
FOR
23%
25%
51%
|
56 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
FOR
3 - 1
LIN
61%
22%
17%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
BOR
0 - 1
FOR
36%
26%
38%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Southport
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
SOU
0 - 0
DOV
24%
25%
51%
|
42 | 53 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
SOU
3 - 0
ALT
33%
24%
43%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | +2 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 0
SOU
64%
21%
15%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Aug. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 0
SOU
56%
23%
21%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2015 |
SOU
1 - 2
GAT
29%
25%
46%
|
42 | 50 | 8 | -1 |