Fontana vs América Gen. San Martín analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
27.4%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fontana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
DPV
3 - 2
FON
31%
23%
46%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2022 |
SOL
4 - 1
FON
50%
25%
24%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
FON
2 - 1
SOL
33%
27%
40%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
AVA
2 - 0
FON
35%
23%
42%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -2 |
| 12 Jan. 2022 |
FON
7 - 2
AVA
50%
22%
28%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
América Gen. San Martín
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CAA
3 - 0
CSD
69%
17%
15%
|
31 | 23 | 8 | 0 |