Follo vs Harstad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.5%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.3%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.3%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
9.1%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-24%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 2014 |
LOR
0 - 7
FOL
13%
17%
71%
|
57 | 33 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
FOL
13 - 1
MOI
79%
14%
7%
|
57 | 25 | 32 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2014 |
VAL
1 - 4
FOL
18%
19%
63%
|
57 | 39 | 18 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
FOL
0 - 1
KJE
67%
20%
14%
|
58 | 47 | 11 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
FOL
1 - 0
SKE
70%
18%
12%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Harstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2014 |
HAR
1 - 2
SKE
48%
22%
30%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
FIN
1 - 0
HAR
47%
24%
30%
|
44 | 43 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
HAR
1 - 1
KFU
42%
24%
34%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
MED
0 - 1
HAR
14%
19%
67%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
HAR
2 - 1
KVI
62%
20%
18%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |