Folkestone Invicta vs Tonbridge Angels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
29.9%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folkestone Invicta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
TON
1 - 1
FOL
48%
24%
28%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
FOL
1 - 0
HAS
79%
14%
7%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
COR
0 - 1
FOL
18%
22%
61%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
FOL
3 - 0
HYT
80%
13%
7%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
FOL
3 - 1
COR
66%
20%
14%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Tonbridge Angels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2015 |
TON
1 - 1
FOL
48%
24%
28%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2015 |
BRE
0 - 1
TON
36%
25%
39%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2015 |
WIN
0 - 1
TON
50%
24%
27%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2015 |
TON
7 - 0
VCD
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2015 |
HAR
1 - 1
TON
51%
24%
26%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |