Foligno Calcio vs Gualdo Casacastalda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Foligno Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
MPO
2 - 1
FOL
43%
26%
31%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
FOL
1 - 2
USP
45%
28%
27%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
VFC
1 - 2
FOL
22%
25%
52%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
FOL
1 - 1
FLA
57%
23%
20%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
FOL
1 - 2
SAN
56%
22%
22%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Gualdo Casacastalda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 1
VFC
63%
21%
16%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
SAN
1 - 1
CAS
50%
23%
27%
|
31 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CAS
1 - 5
MAS
31%
26%
43%
|
32 | 41 | 9 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
GAV
2 - 1
CAS
39%
24%
37%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2015 |
CAS
3 - 0
VOL
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | +1 |