Folgore vs Juvenes / Dogana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.8%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
12.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2021 |
FOL
1 - 1
LIB
58%
22%
19%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
FIO
1 - 1
FOL
19%
24%
56%
|
61 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
FOL
0 - 1
DOM
55%
24%
21%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
FOL
2 - 3
FIO
31%
24%
45%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
HIB
4 - 2
FOL
55%
23%
22%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Juvenes / Dogana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2021 |
JUV
0 - 2
PEN
25%
24%
52%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
JUV
0 - 1
TPE
14%
20%
66%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
SGI
4 - 0
JUV
37%
23%
40%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
JUV
0 - 3
VIR
51%
23%
27%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
JUV
4 - 0
CAI
51%
23%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |