Folgore Caratese vs Seregno analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.6%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.5%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
42.6%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.6%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
2 - 2
FOL
62%
23%
15%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
FOL
0 - 1
PIN
70%
18%
13%
|
35 | 24 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
VAR
1 - 0
FOL
85%
11%
4%
|
35 | 61 | 26 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
FOL
3 - 2
VOG
63%
21%
16%
|
34 | 25 | 9 | +1 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
FOL
2 - 1
ASS
39%
27%
34%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Seregno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
LEV
1 - 3
SER
23%
22%
55%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
SER
1 - 0
SCA
73%
16%
11%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
GRU
0 - 2
SER
38%
24%
39%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
SER
1 - 1
FAN
51%
24%
25%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
SER
0 - 1
CAR
43%
27%
30%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |