Folgore Caratese vs Como analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.1%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
4.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
62%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Folgore Caratese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
BOR
1 - 0
FOL
51%
25%
23%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
FOL
5 - 0
SER
60%
21%
18%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
CAR
3 - 2
FOL
60%
23%
17%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
FOL
2 - 1
PAV
14%
22%
64%
|
34 | 50 | 16 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
DER
1 - 2
FOL
23%
26%
51%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Como
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2017 |
CAR
2 - 2
COM
23%
24%
53%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2017 |
COM
3 - 1
PAV
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
DER
1 - 1
COM
7%
18%
76%
|
51 | 21 | 30 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
COM
1 - 0
ARC
82%
13%
5%
|
51 | 28 | 23 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
VAR
0 - 1
COM
56%
23%
21%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | +1 |