Conference League qualifiers Playoffs. Final
Global 2-7
Fola Esch vs Kairat Almaty analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.9%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
36.1%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fola Esch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
FOL
2 - 0
ETZ
83%
12%
6%
|
70 | 50 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2021 |
FOL
2 - 1
LIN
52%
22%
27%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
USM
2 - 0
FOL
11%
18%
71%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | -2 |
| 03 Aug. 2021 |
LIN
1 - 2
FOL
42%
23%
36%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2021 |
FOL
1 - 0
SHA
47%
23%
31%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Kairat Almaty
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
KAS
2 - 4
KAI
25%
23%
52%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2021 |
ALA
3 - 2
KAI
27%
24%
49%
|
76 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2021 |
KAI
3 - 0
ZHE
64%
19%
16%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2021 |
KAI
0 - 0
ALA
63%
19%
17%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
FKT
4 - 3
KAI
32%
23%
45%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | -1 |