Série A Primera fase, grupo E. Jor. 4

Fluminense vs Vitória ES analysis

Fluminense Vitória ES
86 ELO 56
-4.3% Tilt -18.8%
38º General ELO ranking 2390º
Country ELO ranking 79º
ELO win probability
87.4%
Fluminense
8.8%
Draw
3.8%
Vitória ES

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.3%
Win probability
Fluminense
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.5%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
10%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.4%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8.8%
3.8%
Win probability
Vitória ES
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Fluminense
-8%
-11%
Vitória ES

ELO progression

Fluminense
Vitória ES
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Fluminense
Fluminense
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Oct. 1977
FLU
Fluminense
2 - 1
Sergipe
SER
89%
8%
3%
86 55 31 0
19 Oct. 1977
VOL
Volta Redonda
0 - 1
Fluminense
FLU
17%
23%
60%
86 62 24 0
16 Oct. 1977
DES
Desportiva Ferroviária
0 - 5
Fluminense
FLU
18%
25%
57%
86 67 19 0
05 Dec. 1976
FLU
Fluminense
1 - 1
Corinthians
COR
53%
26%
21%
85 87 2 +1
28 Nov. 1976
FLU
Fluminense
1 - 0
Bahía
BAH
61%
22%
16%
84 82 2 +1

Matches

Vitória ES
Vitória ES
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Oct. 1977
VIT
Vitória ES
2 - 1
Vitória
VIT
28%
31%
42%
55 80 25 0
19 Oct. 1977
VIT
Vitória ES
3 - 1
Sergipe
SER
55%
22%
23%
54 56 2 +1
16 Oct. 1977
VOL
Volta Redonda
3 - 0
Vitória ES
VIT
63%
22%
15%
54 62 8 0
X