Fluminense vs Vitória ES analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
87.3%
Win probability
3.23
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.3%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.8%
7-0
1.6%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
2%
6-0
3.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.5%
5-0
6.4%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.8%
4-0
10%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
14.4%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.4%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.4%
8.8%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.2%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
8.8%
3.8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.3%
1-2
1.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
FLU
2 - 1
SER
89%
8%
3%
|
86 | 55 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1977 |
VOL
0 - 1
FLU
17%
23%
60%
|
86 | 62 | 24 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
DES
0 - 5
FLU
18%
25%
57%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1976 |
FLU
1 - 1
COR
53%
26%
21%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1976 |
FLU
1 - 0
BAH
61%
22%
16%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Vitória ES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 1977 |
VIT
2 - 1
VIT
28%
31%
42%
|
55 | 80 | 25 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1977 |
VIT
3 - 1
SER
55%
22%
23%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 1977 |
VOL
3 - 0
VIT
63%
22%
15%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | 0 |