Fluminense vs Vasco da Gama analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.5%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2013 |
QUI
0 - 3
FLU
9%
20%
72%
|
86 | 46 | 40 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
FLU
2 - 2
FRI
86%
11%
4%
|
86 | 50 | 36 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
BOT
1 - 1
FLU
40%
26%
35%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
FLU
3 - 1
OLA
85%
11%
4%
|
86 | 53 | 33 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 2
FLU
8%
21%
71%
|
86 | 48 | 38 | 0 |
Matches
Vasco da Gama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
VAS
0 - 1
BAN
85%
12%
4%
|
82 | 54 | 28 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
VAS
2 - 4
FLA
60%
22%
18%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
RES
2 - 4
VAS
13%
20%
66%
|
83 | 55 | 28 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
VAS
4 - 2
MAC
81%
13%
6%
|
83 | 59 | 24 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
BOA
0 - 3
VAS
15%
21%
64%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |