Fluminense vs São Caetano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
28.7%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
SAN
3 - 1
FLU
70%
18%
13%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2003 |
FLU
3 - 2
COT
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2003 |
SAO
1 - 0
FLU
68%
19%
14%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
FLU
2 - 2
PPE
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
BAH
2 - 2
FLU
54%
22%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
São Caetano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
SAO
1 - 0
GOI
45%
27%
28%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
SAO
4 - 1
BAH
50%
26%
24%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2003 |
GUA
0 - 1
SAO
47%
27%
27%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2003 |
ATP
1 - 0
SAO
48%
26%
26%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2003 |
SAO
0 - 1
SAO
33%
26%
41%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | -1 |