Fluminense vs Peñarol analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.9%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
38.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
FLU
1 - 2
SAO
42%
28%
30%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2019 |
PEÑ
1 - 2
FLU
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
VAS
2 - 1
FLU
46%
25%
29%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2019 |
FLU
1 - 1
CEA
55%
25%
20%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 1
FLU
35%
27%
38%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Peñarol
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
PEÑ
2 - 0
DAN
69%
19%
12%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2019 |
PEÑ
1 - 2
FLU
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2019 |
PRO
1 - 1
PEÑ
22%
25%
54%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2019 |
PEÑ
4 - 0
BOS
76%
16%
8%
|
83 | 69 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2019 |
PEÑ
2 - 1
NAC
58%
22%
20%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |