Carioca 1 Etapas Finales Semi-finals
Global 0-2
Fluminense vs Flamengo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
31.3%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
FLU
2 - 4
BOT
54%
24%
22%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2024 |
FLU
2 - 0
LIG
76%
16%
9%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
FLA
2 - 0
FLU
52%
24%
24%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
LIG
1 - 0
FLU
21%
25%
54%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
MAD
0 - 1
FLU
5%
18%
77%
|
90 | 48 | 42 | 0 |
Matches
Flamengo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
FLA
3 - 0
MAD
88%
10%
3%
|
91 | 47 | 44 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
FLA
2 - 0
FLU
52%
24%
24%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
FLA
4 - 0
BOA
87%
10%
3%
|
90 | 50 | 40 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
BAN
0 - 3
FLA
5%
16%
79%
|
90 | 48 | 42 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
FLA
3 - 0
VOL
81%
13%
6%
|
90 | 69 | 21 | 0 |