Fluminense vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
26%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
23.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
GOI
2 - 4
FLU
37%
26%
37%
|
79 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
BOT
1 - 1
FLU
37%
28%
35%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
FLU
4 - 0
COT
54%
24%
22%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2020 |
ATL
3 - 1
FLU
41%
26%
33%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2020 |
SPO
1 - 0
FLU
31%
27%
42%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2020 |
BAH
3 - 0
VAS
46%
27%
28%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
BAH
1 - 2
SPO
55%
25%
20%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
BOT
1 - 2
BAH
43%
28%
29%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
ATP
1 - 0
BAH
59%
24%
17%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2020 |
COR
3 - 2
BAH
55%
26%
20%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | -1 |