Fluminense vs Botafogo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
19%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2016 |
PAL
2 - 0
FLU
51%
25%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
FLU
2 - 2
SAN
64%
22%
15%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
AMF
0 - 1
FLU
35%
26%
38%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
FLU
3 - 0
FER
74%
17%
9%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2016 |
FER
3 - 3
FLU
16%
22%
62%
|
79 | 61 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Botafogo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 May. 2016 |
BOT
2 - 1
ATP
47%
27%
26%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 1
BOT
39%
28%
33%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
BOT
1 - 0
SDJ
78%
16%
6%
|
76 | 48 | 28 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
BOT
0 - 1
SAO
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2016 |
SDJ
1 - 2
BOT
11%
22%
67%
|
76 | 49 | 27 | +1 |