Fluminense vs Avaí analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
16.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug. 2019 |
FLU
1 - 1
COR
38%
29%
33%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2019 |
COR
0 - 0
FLU
51%
26%
23%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
FLU
0 - 1
CSA
72%
19%
9%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
ATM
2 - 1
FLU
61%
21%
18%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
FLU
2 - 1
SCI
37%
29%
34%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Avaí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2019 |
AVA
1 - 1
COR
17%
28%
55%
|
69 | 84 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 0
AVA
48%
27%
25%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
AVA
2 - 2
CRZ
22%
28%
51%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
AVA
0 - 2
BOT
29%
29%
42%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2019 |
SAN
3 - 1
AVA
68%
21%
12%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | -1 |