Fluminense vs Portuguesa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
16.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2013 |
ATP
1 - 1
FLU
41%
26%
33%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
FLU
1 - 0
BAH
68%
21%
12%
|
83 | 71 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2013 |
ATM
2 - 2
FLU
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2013 |
FLU
0 - 2
SAN
45%
25%
30%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2013 |
GOI
2 - 0
FLU
33%
27%
40%
|
84 | 77 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Portuguesa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2013 |
POR
2 - 0
VAS
34%
27%
39%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
GRE
3 - 2
POR
61%
23%
16%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2013 |
POR
2 - 1
PPE
45%
26%
29%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
POR
4 - 2
BAH
51%
27%
22%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2013 |
ATM
2 - 1
POR
70%
18%
12%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |