Série D Brazil . Last 16
Global 1-1
Fluminense de Feira vs Ceilândia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.7%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
33.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fluminense de Feira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
7DE
0 - 2
FLU
49%
25%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2016 |
FLU
2 - 0
7DE
37%
27%
36%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | +2 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
FLU
0 - 0
SER
53%
25%
22%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
MUR
2 - 2
FLU
42%
26%
32%
|
46 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
CAM
3 - 1
FLU
57%
24%
19%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Ceilândia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
CEI
2 - 1
APA
38%
28%
34%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
APA
0 - 0
CEI
51%
26%
23%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
COM
0 - 2
CEI
28%
27%
45%
|
47 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
CEI
3 - 0
APA
31%
28%
41%
|
46 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
CEI
3 - 1
AAC
53%
24%
23%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |