Fløya vs Harstad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.9%
Win probability
3.01
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.9%
4-0
6%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
6.2%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.4%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.2%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19%
13.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
13.3%
9.8%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
6.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-26%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
2º
8º
2º
51
4º
12º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
74 | 74 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
24 | 24 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
5 | 5 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fløya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FFK
0 - 3
FLO
24%
21%
55%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
FLO
2 - 1
KON
73%
14%
12%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2024 |
IFC
1 - 3
FLO
14%
17%
69%
|
40 | 21 | 19 | +1 |
| 23 Jun. 2024 |
FLO
8 - 0
FBG
90%
7%
3%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
SIK
0 - 1
FLO
39%
22%
39%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Harstad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
HAR
1 - 1
MJO
70%
16%
14%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
HAM
1 - 2
HAR
47%
20%
33%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +2 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
HAR
2 - 1
ILU
83%
10%
7%
|
31 | 20 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2024 |
FYL
1 - 3
HAR
29%
21%
50%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
HAR
4 - 2
SJE
61%
18%
21%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |