Cup Poland 1/16

Swinoujscie vs Jagiellonia Bialystok analysis

Swinoujscie Jagiellonia Bialystok
53 ELO 75
-10.3% Tilt -8.4%
5435º General ELO ranking 769º
117º Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
20.4%
Swinoujscie
26.4%
Draw
53.2%
Jagiellonia Bialystok

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.4%
Win probability
Swinoujscie
0.81
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.1%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
10.1%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
53.2%
Win probability
Jagiellonia Bialystok
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
15%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Swinoujscie
-9%
+13%
Jagiellonia Bialystok

ELO progression

Swinoujscie
Jagiellonia Bialystok
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Swinoujscie
Swinoujscie
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Jun. 2010
FLO
Swinoujscie
0 - 3
Podbeskidzie
POD
36%
28%
36%
56 59 3 0
01 Jun. 2010
GOR
Warta Gorzów
1 - 1
Swinoujscie
FLO
47%
26%
27%
56 55 1 0
26 May. 2010
FLO
Swinoujscie
1 - 0
GKS Katowice
GKS
42%
27%
31%
55 57 2 +1
22 May. 2010
PLO
Wisła Płock
2 - 1
Swinoujscie
FLO
54%
24%
22%
56 55 1 -1
16 May. 2010
FLO
Swinoujscie
2 - 1
KSZO Ostrowiec
KSZ
45%
27%
28%
55 57 2 +1

Matches

Jagiellonia Bialystok
Jagiellonia Bialystok
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Sep. 2010
ARK
Arka Gdynia
1 - 0
Jagiellonia Bialystok
JAG
35%
29%
36%
76 66 10 0
10 Sep. 2010
JAG
Jagiellonia Bialystok
2 - 1
Wisla Kraków
WIS
41%
26%
32%
76 78 2 0
29 Aug. 2010
JAG
Jagiellonia Bialystok
2 - 0
Lech Poznań
LPO
42%
27%
31%
75 78 3 +1
22 Aug. 2010
GDA
Lechia Gdansk
1 - 2
Jagiellonia Bialystok
JAG
42%
29%
29%
75 71 4 0
14 Aug. 2010
JAG
Jagiellonia Bialystok
3 - 1
GKS Bełchatów
GKS
44%
28%
28%
75 79 4 0