Estonia Third Division West / South Round 15

FC Flora Tallin III vs Vaprus Pärnu II analysis

FC Flora Tallin III Vaprus Pärnu II
41 ELO 50
25.4% Tilt 15.6%
7068º General ELO ranking 36193º
40º Country ELO ranking 263º
ELO win probability
23.9%
FC Flora Tallin III
20.6%
Draw
55.5%
Vaprus Pärnu II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23.8%
Win probability
FC Flora Tallin III
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.7%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.7%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
20.6%
55.5%
Win probability
Vaprus Pärnu II
2.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.7%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
16.6%
0-3
5%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9.8%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
FC Flora Tallin III
-22%
-13%
Vaprus Pärnu II

ELO progression

FC Flora Tallin III
Vaprus Pärnu II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

FC Flora Tallin III
FC Flora Tallin III
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Aug. 2024
SSP
Saku Sporting
2 - 1
FC Flora Tallin III
FLO
41%
22%
37%
42 37 5 0
01 Aug. 2024
FLO
FC Flora Tallin III
0 - 6
Tallinna Kalev II
TKA
25%
20%
54%
44 52 8 -2
29 Jul. 2024
FLO
FC Flora Tallin III
1 - 1
Hiiumaa
HII
61%
19%
20%
44 39 5 0
20 Jun. 2024
RAP
Raplamaa
0 - 3
FC Flora Tallin III
FLO
21%
19%
60%
42 30 12 +2
15 Jun. 2024
KEI
Keila JK
2 - 2
FC Flora Tallin III
FLO
17%
17%
66%
43 27 16 -1

Matches

Vaprus Pärnu II
Vaprus Pärnu II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Jun. 2024
PAR
Vaprus Pärnu II
5 - 1
Raplamaa
RAP
83%
11%
6%
50 30 20 0
13 Jun. 2024
SJL
Saue JK Laagri
0 - 4
Vaprus Pärnu II
PAR
17%
19%
64%
49 36 13 +1
01 Jun. 2024
PAR
Vaprus Pärnu II
4 - 0
Harju JK Laagri II
HLA
53%
21%
26%
47 46 1 +2
26 May. 2024
NOU
Nõmme United II
5 - 2
Vaprus Pärnu II
PAR
31%
23%
47%
49 42 7 -2
18 May. 2024
PAR
Vaprus Pärnu II
5 - 2
Vändra JK Vaprus
VAN
79%
13%
8%
49 34 15 0